克而瑞地产研究:房价环比止跌城市增多 供求结构指标持续优化
智通财经网·2025-12-15 11:57

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the real estate market is undergoing a critical phase of inventory digestion, price confidence rebuilding, and demand transformation, with a shift from urbanization-driven growth to housing renewal and quality upgrades as the main demand drivers [21][22] - In November, the new housing price index decreased by 2.8% year-on-year, with the decline expanding by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month, while the number of cities where prices stabilized increased significantly to 11, up by 5 from the previous month [1][9] - The overall sales area of new homes in the first eleven months fell by 7.8% year-on-year, with the decline in November showing a slight narrowing to 17%, indicating a potential stabilization in the market [5][23] Group 2 - The industrial production showed stable growth, with the added value of the equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing sectors growing by 7.7% and 8.4% year-on-year, respectively, outpacing the overall industrial growth [2] - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 43.898 billion yuan in November, growing by 1.3% year-on-year, although the growth rate slowed by 1.6 percentage points compared to the previous month [2] - The fixed asset investment in the first eleven months decreased by 15.9% year-on-year, with a notable decline in November, reflecting a trend of aligning investment with sales in the real estate sector [16] Group 3 - The new housing construction area in the first eleven months was 5.3 million square meters, down 20.5% year-on-year, indicating a significant reduction in new projects, which helps alleviate inventory pressure [13] - The completion area of housing reached 3.9 million square meters in the first eleven months, down 18% year-on-year, but showing signs of cyclical recovery in November, reflecting ongoing efforts to ensure housing delivery [15] - The investment-sales gap is narrowing, with real estate development investment in the first eleven months exceeding new housing sales by 4.6%, indicating a shift towards a more rational development model [16][21]