中外对话丨中外专家警告：日本主动调整军事战略，或走向穷兵黩武

Core Viewpoint - Japanese Prime Minister Kishi Nobuo's recent remarks regarding Taiwan have raised concerns among international experts, warning that Japan's military strategy may be shifting towards militarism, which could have severe implications for regional stability and Japan's own economy [1][3][4]. Group 1: Political Implications - Kishi's comments are seen as part of a broader trend of Japan's political rightward shift, driven by conservative forces advocating for constitutional amendments and military expansion [3][4]. - The core motivation behind Kishi's statements is to escape the constraints of the post-war system and to seek military flexibility for Japan, potentially transforming it into a nation with offensive military capabilities [3][4]. - Kishi's actions are also viewed as a strategy to solidify her political position by distancing herself from moderate factions within her party and appealing to conservative voters and military-industrial interests [3][4]. Group 2: Economic Consequences - The backlash against Kishi's remarks has led to significant negative impacts on various sectors in Japan, particularly tourism, retail, and dining, as Chinese tourists, a vital source of revenue, are now less inclined to visit Japan [4][5]. - Japan's reliance on trade with China means that Kishi's comments have increased uncertainty in Japan-China economic relations, which could lead to declines in corporate performance and hinder Japan's overall economic recovery [4][5]. Group 3: Military Concerns - Kishi's actions since taking office indicate a clear signal that Japan is accelerating its departure from the post-war peace development path, aiming to establish itself as a military power capable of proactive military engagement [6]. - There are growing concerns about the resurgence of militaristic ideologies in Japan, which could pose serious threats to peace and stability in the Asia-Pacific region if left unchecked [6][7].