Oracle stock remains under pressure, but this analyst sees the stock climbing around 100%

Core Viewpoint - Oracle's stock has experienced significant pressure, losing over 15% in the past five days and a total of 23.1% in November, reversing earlier gains from a strong earnings report [1][3]. Financial Performance - The decline in Oracle's stock follows a disappointing earnings report that fell short of analysts' cloud revenue estimates, despite confirming growth in demand and backlog [5][6]. - Oracle raised its annual capital expenditure target by $15 billion and more than doubled its future lease commitments, raising concerns among investors [5][6]. Market Sentiment - Investor sentiment has shifted negatively due to concerns about the structure and durability of the Oracle–OpenAI partnership and the sustainability of the AI investment cycle [3]. - Oracle's corporate bonds have come under scrutiny, with credit risk climbing to a 16-year high, indicating increased caution in the credit markets [4]. Analyst Perspectives - Some analysts remain optimistic, with Mizuho reiterating an Outperform rating and a $400 price target, highlighting Oracle's AI infrastructure financing strategy [10][11]. - Mizuho noted that Oracle's valuation presents an attractive entry point, despite the current volatility in the stock [12]. Management's Position - Oracle's co-CEO emphasized the company's commitment to maintaining an investment-grade credit rating and indicated that borrowing projections may not reach the $100 billion mark suggested by some analysts [8][9].