Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the revenue and profit forecasts for Zhizi City Technology (09911) for 2025 and 2026, with an outperform rating and a target price of HKD 14.5, indicating a 38% upside potential based on a 14x 2026 Non-IFRS P/E ratio [1] Group 1: Revenue and Growth - MICO has stabilized, with SUGO and TopTop continuing to show high growth in user acquisition and revenue. The company expects a quarter-on-quarter stabilization in revenue since Q4, with YoHo revenue maintaining year-on-year growth. Mature product lines are contributing stable profits, while new products SUGO and TopTop are prioritizing user scale, showing double-digit growth in global MAU [2] - The company anticipates a 30% year-on-year increase in social revenue for the second half of the year, driven by regional expansion and the core growth of SUGO and TopTop, along with a pipeline of new products expected to support revenue in the coming years [2] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - Short dramas and games are being explored as strategic initiatives. The company is testing global distribution of translated and self-produced dramas, currently in an investment phase with manageable losses, and sees potential for synergy with its social ecosystem [3] - The main product, the mobile game "Alice's Dream," is entering a recovery phase, with expectations for stable profit contributions. New games are in testing, with a potential launch in the first half of 2026, which may provide additional revenue [3] Group 3: AI and Operational Efficiency - The company is focused on enhancing profitability quality while expanding, utilizing AI technology and refined operations. It aims to balance growth investments with profit release based on the different development stages of its products, maintaining an adjusted net profit forecast of 1.1 billion for the year [4] - Looking ahead, there is potential for optimizing operational leverage, with expectations for gradual profit release as the market and products mature [4]
中金：维持赤子城科技(09911)“跑赢行业”评级 目标价14.5港元