美联储降息平衡海外流动性，港股科技板块或仍是长期主线

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a collective decline in Hong Kong technology stocks, with the Hang Seng Technology Index dropping over 2% and major companies like Alibaba and Tencent experiencing significant losses [1] - The Federal Reserve's recent decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.50%-3.75% is noted, which may influence global capital flows [1][19] - The liquidity environment in the Hong Kong market remains accommodative, supported by domestic policies emphasizing proactive fiscal measures and moderately loose monetary policies for the upcoming year [1][19] Group 2 - The National Index for Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index selects 30 leading technology companies based on market capitalization, R&D investment, and revenue growth, ensuring a focus on both scale and growth potential [4] - The index requires constituent stocks to have a compound revenue growth rate exceeding 10% over the past two years or an R&D expense ratio above 5%, with a flexible sample adjustment mechanism to maintain competitiveness [4] - The index's top five constituent stocks account for over 60% of its weight, indicating a high concentration compared to similar indices, which include major players like Alibaba, Tencent, and Xiaomi [7] Group 3 - The latest valuation of the Hong Kong Technology Index stands at 26.43 times PE, which is positioned at the 40.32 percentile since the index's inception, suggesting a relatively favorable valuation environment [10] - Recent data indicates a net outflow of 3.443 billion HKD from southbound funds, a significant decrease compared to the previous week, reflecting a shift in capital dynamics [15] - The article suggests that the technology sector may remain a long-term investment focus, with potential for rebound due to multiple favorable factors, while the consumer sector is expected to receive substantial policy support [19]