王锦轩:黄金非农前居高震荡 今日黄金走势分析

Core Viewpoint - The gold market experienced fluctuations, reaching a high of 4350 before a significant drop back to around 4285, indicating potential volatility ahead of the non-farm payroll data release [1][4]. Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - On December 16, gold showed a strong upward trend initially but faced a substantial decline later, completely reversing the day's gains and closing with a candlestick pattern that suggests caution [1][4]. - The daily structure of gold remains strong, with moving averages indicating a bullish divergence, suggesting potential for further upward movement [1][4]. - The recent price action, characterized by long upper shadows on the candlestick, indicates that bears may be gaining strength, especially in light of the upcoming non-farm payroll data which could trigger further adjustments [1][4]. Group 2: Trading Strategy - In the short term, gold is expected to maintain a range-bound trading pattern, with key resistance at 4320-30 and support around the 5-day moving average at 4285 [2][5]. - If the non-farm payroll data is negative, there is a high likelihood of breaking below the support level at 4285, with potential targets at 4260 and 4240 [2][5]. - The trading strategy suggests focusing on short-term trades within the 4330-4280 range, with adjustments based on the non-farm payroll data outcomes [2][5]. Group 3: Silver Market Outlook - The silver market continues to show a bullish trend, with expectations of reaching around 65, having recently peaked at 64.6 [2][5]. - The current closing price for silver is above 63.5, maintaining a positive outlook, but traders are advised to focus on support levels at 61 and 60, while being cautious of market changes [2][5].