农业农村部：预计国产全乳胶销区现货市场价格将以震荡运行为主 主要在1.4—1.5万元／吨附近浮动

Core Insights - The agricultural sector is experiencing fluctuations in natural rubber prices, with varying trends observed in different regions and types of rubber [1][8] Domestic Market Overview - In November, the average price of domestic all-latex standard rubber (SCRWF) fluctuated between 14,300 and 14,950 CNY/ton, showing a downward trend compared to the previous month [1] - The average prices for fresh latex in Yunnan and Hainan were 13,921 CNY/ton and 14,279 CNY/ton, respectively, with increases of 98 CNY/ton and 526 CNY/ton month-on-month [2] - In major sales areas, the average prices in Shanghai, Qingdao, and Tianjin were 14,721 CNY/ton, 14,658 CNY/ton, and 14,661 CNY/ton, respectively, all showing month-on-month declines [5] International Market Overview - In November, the average price of Thai RSS3 was 2,048 USD/ton, up by 6 USD/ton, while Indonesian SIR20 averaged 1,683 USD/ton, down by 9 USD/ton [1] - The Singapore RSS3 futures contract averaged 2,047 USD/ton, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 26 USD/ton [1] Import and Export Dynamics - In October, China imported 250,300 tons of natural rubber, a year-on-year increase of 10.24%, with an average import price of 1,744.78 USD/ton, down by 2.61% [8] - Cumulative imports from January to October reached 2,439,700 tons, up by 27.97% year-on-year [8] Market Predictions - The domestic production is expected to decline as major production areas enter a reduction phase, while demand from tire manufacturers is recovering [8][9] - The market price for natural rubber is anticipated to stabilize around 14,000 to 15,000 CNY/ton, influenced by seasonal supply and demand factors [10]