债市日报:12月16日
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2025-12-16 08:04

Core Viewpoint - The bond market is experiencing slight differentiation, with expectations for monetary easing reignited by recent economic data, leading to a mixed performance in government bond futures and a modest decline in interbank bond yields [1][2]. Market Performance - Government bond futures showed mixed results, with the 30-year main contract down 0.19% to 111.39, while the 10-year and 5-year contracts saw slight increases of 0.05% and 0.03%, respectively [2]. - Interbank bond yields generally declined, with the 30-year special government bond yield down 1.55 basis points to 2.2675%, and the 10-year government bond yield down 1 basis point to 1.849% [2]. Overseas Bond Market - In North America, U.S. Treasury yields were mixed, with the 2-year yield down 1.86 basis points to 3.504% and the 30-year yield up 0.31 basis points to 4.847% [3]. - In Asia, Japanese bond yields mostly fell, with the 10-year yield down 0.2 basis points to 1.956% [4]. Primary Market - In Heilongjiang Province, the results of the local bond auction showed a bid-to-cover ratio exceeding 16 times, with the 5-year bond yield at 1.75% and the 10-year bond yield at 2.09% [5]. Liquidity Conditions - The central bank conducted a 135.3 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation at a rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net injection of 18 billion yuan for the day [6]. - Shibor rates showed mixed performance, with the overnight rate up 0.2 basis points to 1.276% and the 7-day rate down 0.3 basis points to 1.429% [6]. Institutional Views - Citic Securities noted that the overall liquidity in the market is currently loose, with expectations for potential interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions in the first half of next year [7]. - Huaxi Fixed Income suggested that the bond market sentiment remains cautious due to concerns over redemption fee regulations and long-term bond supply, despite the expectation of monetary easing [8].