银行家：印度卢比持续贬值引发对印度央行出手干预的讨论

Core Insights - The Indian Rupee has experienced a significant decline, reaching historical lows against multiple Asian currencies, prompting discussions among bankers about potential intervention by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) [1][3] - The Rupee has depreciated approximately 2.5% over the past month, influenced by ongoing dollar liquidity issues and the delay in the US-India trade agreement, which has dampened market sentiment [1][3] - Increased hedging activities by importers and cautious attitudes from foreign investors towards Indian equities have further pressured the Rupee [1][3] Market Dynamics - The dominant flow of funds has weakened the Rupee's sensitivity to daily fluctuations of similar Asian currencies, leading to a cumulative downward trend and heightened expectations for further depreciation and speculative activities [1][3] - Historically, during previous periods of Rupee weakness, the RBI has implemented substantial interventions to curb depreciation, indicating a likelihood of similar actions in the current context [1][3] - Recent interventions by the RBI included significant actions in both the spot and non-deliverable forward (NDF) markets to stabilize the Rupee [1][3] Comparative Performance - On Tuesday, the Rupee fell below the 91 mark against the US dollar, marking a 0.3% decline for the day [4] - In contrast, most Asian currencies have appreciated over the past month, with the Thai Baht rising over 3% and the Chinese Yuan, Malaysian Ringgit, and Singapore Dollar each increasing by at least 1% [5] - This disparity highlights the Rupee's significant weakness relative to its Asian counterparts, as it has reached historical lows against various currencies [5]