Tempus AI Revenue Jumps 85% as Pricing Catalysts Line Up

Core Insights - Tempus AI (TEM) experienced a significant quarter with improved diagnostics volumes and pricing, alongside extended data partnerships enhancing visibility [1] - Investors are evaluating growth sustainability against GAAP losses and the timing of multi-year data deal conversions [1] Revenue Growth and Performance - In Q3 2025, revenues surged 84.7% year-over-year to $334.2 million, driven by a 117% increase in genomics to $252.9 million and a 26.1% rise in data and services to $81.3 million [2] - The company conducted 217,000 clinical tests, marking a 33% year-over-year increase, with oncology testing revenue at $139.5 million and hereditary testing at $102.6 million [2] Margin and Profitability Trends - Gross profit increased by 98% to $209.9 million due to higher volumes and improved average selling prices [3] - Adjusted EBITDA reached $1.5 million, a notable improvement from the previous year's loss, although GAAP net loss was substantial at $80.0 million [3] Pricing and Regulatory Developments - Average reimbursement improved by mid-teens percentage per test, narrowing the gap with competitors [4] - Approximately one-third of xT CDx volume is on FDA-approved pathways, with plans to migrate most by 2026, and xF submission for FDA approval expected by the end of 2025 [4] Data Monetization and Future Visibility - Data and services are showing momentum in multi-quarter bookings, which are expected to convert over time, enhancing operating leverage [5] - The company is building a backlog through Compass CRO awards and real-world data collaborations, although the conversion cycle may limit near-term revenue growth [5] Financial Position and Guidance - Tempus AI ended Q3 with $764.3 million in cash and marketable securities, providing sufficient capacity for AI compute, regulatory filings, and commercial investments [6] - For 2025, management anticipates approximately $1.265 billion in revenue and around $20 million in adjusted EBITDA, with a target for positive annual earnings per share by 2027 [6]