How Bad Can Things Get For Applied Digital Stock?

Company Overview - Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) is valued at $5.9 billion with $148 million in revenue, currently trading at $22.98 [2] - The company has shown a revenue growth of 9.3% over the last 12 months, but has an operating margin of -31.3% [2] Stock Performance - APLD shares have decreased by 17.5% in a single day, raising concerns about high valuations in AI infrastructure and profit-taking after a significant rally [2] - The stock has historically performed worse than the S&P 500 during economic downturns, with a notable decline of 82.6% from a high of $5.06 on October 26, 2021, to $0.88 on July 13, 2022 [7] - Despite past declines, APLD stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by May 16, 2023, and reached a high of $37.76 on October 15, 2025, before trading at $22.98 [7] Valuation Metrics - APLD stock has a P/E multiple of -24.1 and a P/EBIT multiple of -34.8, indicating a very high valuation [6] - The company has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.12 and a Cash to Assets ratio of 0.03, suggesting moderate liquidity [6] Historical Recovery - APLD stock has shown a median return of 68.4% within a year following sharp declines since 2010, indicating potential for recovery after downturns [6] - The stock has experienced significant declines in various economic crises, including an 89.8% drop during the 2018 correction and a 91.7% drop during the 2008 financial crisis, but has fully recovered in each instance [8]