Core Viewpoint - The historical pattern of the Santa Claus rally on Wall Street raises the question of whether it will occur again this year, with stocks typically rising during this period due to lighter trading volumes and year-end optimism [1] S&P 500 Santa Rally Track Record - The S&P 500 has risen 75.79% of the time between December 20 and January 4, with an average gain of 1.7%, based on 95 years of data analyzed by Seasonax [2] - Notable years include 1991, when the S&P 500 rose nearly 8% during the Santa rally period [2] Stock Performance During the Santa Rally - Illumina Inc. (NASDAQ:ILMN) has an 85% winning rate with an average return of 4% over the past 20 years [5] - Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) has an 80% winning rate and an average gain of 1.25%, although it experienced a decline of 4.3% in 2024 [5] - JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) has risen in 15 of the past 20 years, with an average return of 1.89% [5] - Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:FCX) has a 70% winning rate and notable past surges, with an average return of 3.54% [5] - Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:GS) has a 65% winning rate and an average return of 2.69% during the Santa rally [5]
Santa Rally Looms: These 5 Stocks Often Deliver Gifts To Investors - Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:FCX)