年末理财规模有望站上33万亿元

Core Viewpoint - The growth of bank wealth management scale in November is driven by seasonal patterns and the downward trend in deposit rates, with expectations that the year-end figure will exceed 33 trillion yuan despite potential short-term adjustments due to regulatory pressures [1][2] Group 1: Wealth Management Scale Growth - As of the end of November, the total wealth management scale reached 34 trillion yuan, an increase of 0.35 trillion yuan from the end of October [1] - Another report indicated that the wealth management scale was 33.57 trillion yuan, reflecting a slight increase of 729 billion yuan compared to the end of October [1][2] - The growth is attributed to seasonal factors and a noticeable trend of funds moving towards bank wealth management and non-money market funds due to declining deposit rates [2] Group 2: Yield Pressure - In contrast to the growth in scale, the yields of cash management and pure fixed-income wealth management products faced downward pressure in November [1] - The average annualized yield for cash management products was 1.23% as of December 7, still above the 1.10% average yield of money market funds, but expected to decline further in a loose monetary environment [2] - Pure fixed-income products saw their average annualized yield drop to 2.42% in November, influenced by fluctuations in the bond market [3] Group 3: Strategic Adjustments - Wealth management companies are actively adjusting strategies to enhance yield flexibility, with a focus on "fixed income plus" products [3] - Many firms are increasing their investments in exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and related strategies to improve yield while supporting capital market development [3] - The trend of extending the duration of closed-end products is emerging as a response to the regulatory deadline for valuation adjustments [4] Group 4: Long-Term Product Trends - The reliance on valuation methods suitable for short-term products is decreasing, as longer-term closed-end products can mitigate short-term redemption risks and provide stability [4] - The supply of long-term closed-end wealth management products is expected to continue expanding, driven by the need for stability in valuation and alignment with long-term retirement financial needs [4]