美国重磅数据发布，国际油价直线跳水

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the U.S. non-farm payrolls for November exceeded expectations, with the Federal Reserve expected to maintain its current interest rate policy in January 2026 [1][6]. Group 2 - The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported an increase of 64,000 non-farm jobs in November, surpassing the Dow Jones estimate of 45,000 [4]. - The healthcare sector contributed significantly to job growth, adding 46,000 positions, while construction added 28,000 and social assistance added 18,000 [4]. - Conversely, the transportation and warehousing sector saw a decrease of 18,000 jobs, and the leisure and hospitality sector lost 12,000 jobs [4]. Group 3 - The unemployment rate rose to 4.6%, the highest level since September 2021, and October saw a loss of 105,000 jobs primarily due to over 150,000 federal employees leaving [5]. - The October non-farm payrolls marked the third net decrease in the past six months, with revisions showing a further decline in previous months' data [5]. Group 4 - The probability of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is low, with only a 24.4% chance of a cut in January, and a 78% chance of maintaining the current rate [6]. - The Federal Reserve has lowered the benchmark interest rate three times since September, now targeting a range of 3.5% to 3.75% [6]. - Fed Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the central bank is in a wait-and-see mode due to data interruptions and economic uncertainty, emphasizing the need to monitor job creation closely [6].