Jin Rong Jie·2025-12-17 02:29Core Viewpoint - The stock of Zhaoyan New Drug (06127) has risen over 8%, currently trading at 22.14 HKD, with a transaction volume of 39.86 million HKD, driven by increasing demand for preclinical safety evaluation assets, specifically macaques [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The price of experimental macaques has shown a rapid upward trend, reaching approximately 140,000 RMB per macaque as of December 9, 2025 [1] - The demand for macaques, a critical resource for preclinical safety evaluations, is expected to increase as orders for preclinical CROs recover steadily [1] - Supply-side expansion is challenging in the short term, with some macaque farms indicating that their production capacity is already booked until Q1 2026, suggesting a tight supply-demand balance that may lead to further price increases [1] Group 2: Company Insights - Leading CROs with abundant strategic resource reserves are likely to benefit from the industry's recovery and the fair value gains from macaque prices [1] - For Zhaoyan New Drug, assuming an average price of 84,900 RMB per macaque in 2024 and an increase to 140,000 RMB by Q4 2025, the estimated new fair value addition in 2025 could be around 220 million RMB, based on a known population of 23,200 macaques and a 17% output rate [1]