Sovereign Outlook 2026: Rising Geopolitical Tensions and Fiscal Headwinds

Scope Ratings says in its Sovereign Outlook 2026 that geopolitical developments will remain fundamental for sovereign credit profiles, particularly in Europe. This includes uncertainties under volatile US trade and foreign policies but also China’s dominance across the raw materials crucial for global supply chains as well as the impact of China’s growing competitiveness in high-value-added goods exports. For European sovereigns, significant uncertainty persists regarding the outcome of any potential cea ...