12月17日金市早评：金价震荡冲高至4315 聚焦特朗普讲话与美联储人事

Market Overview - The US dollar index is trading around 98.187, while spot gold opened at $4301.84 per ounce and is currently trading at approximately $4317.57 per ounce. Gold T+D is trading around 971.80 CNY per gram, and the Shanghai gold main contract is at 976.98 CNY per gram [1][1]. - The previous trading day saw the US dollar index decrease by 0.05% to 98.225, and spot gold also fell by 0.05% to $4302.28 per ounce. Other precious metals showed mixed results: spot silver decreased by 0.47% to $63.74 per ounce, while platinum rose by 3.54% to $1847.80 per ounce, and palladium increased by 2.13% to $1606.00 per ounce [1][1]. Inventory Data - As of December 16, COMEX gold inventory stands at 1119.46 tons, an increase of 0.75 tons from the previous trading day. COMEX silver inventory is at 14116.20 tons, a decrease of 22.22 tons from the previous trading day [2][2]. - SPDR gold ETF holdings remain unchanged at 1051.69 tons, while SLV silver ETF holdings decreased by 42.31 tons to 16018.29 tons [2][2]. Economic Indicators - The ADP report indicates that private sector employers added an average of 16,250 jobs per week over the four weeks ending November 29. The US non-farm payroll for November recorded an increase of 64,000 jobs, following a decline of 105,000 jobs in October. The unemployment rate for November is reported at 4.6%, marking a four-year high [6][6]. - Speculation regarding the Federal Reserve chair candidate is expected to be announced in early January, with media reports suggesting that Waller will interview with Trump on Wednesday. Following this news, market predictions have raised the probability of Waller being a candidate for the Fed chair to 15% [6][6]. Upcoming Economic Events - Key economic data to be released includes the UK November CPI and retail price index at 15:00, Germany's December IFO business climate index at 17:00, and the Eurozone November CPI final values at 18:00. Additionally, speeches from Federal Reserve officials Waller and Williams are scheduled for later in the day [8][8].