2026年度制冷剂配额核发，双氧水、R125涨幅居前

Market Performance - The basic chemical index decreased by 2.19% from December 6 to December 12, while the CSI 300 index fell by only 0.08%, indicating that the basic chemical sector underperformed the CSI 300 by 2.12 percentage points, ranking 26th among all sectors [1][2] - The top-performing sub-industries included rubber additives (4.50%), adhesives and tapes (2.95%), non-metallic materials III (1.04%), synthetic resins (0.68%), and other rubber products (0.37%) [1][2] Chemical Price Trends - The top five products with the highest weekly price increases were hydrogen peroxide (14.67%), R125 (13.33%), hydrochloric acid (Shandong) (12.50%), domestic vitamin E (8.33%), and raw salt (5.77%) [3] - The top five products with the largest weekly price declines were liquid chlorine (-33.33%), NYMEX natural gas (-22.31%), R22 (-13.89%), hydrochloric acid (Jiangsu) (-12.50%), and R134a (-8.33%) [3] Industry Dynamics - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment announced the issuance of production, use, and import quotas for ozone-depleting substances and hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) for 2026, with a total production quota of 797,800 tons, a slight increase of 5,963 tons from 2025 [4] - The production quotas for R134a, R245fa, R32, and R125 will increase by 3,272, 2,918, 1,171, and 351 tons respectively, while R143 and R227ea will see reductions of 1,255 and 517 tons [4] - The high demand for third-generation refrigerants is expected to continue, with prices remaining elevated; as of December 12, the market prices for R32, R125, and R134a in East China were 63,300, 45,000, and 57,500 yuan per ton, respectively [4] - The production of air conditioners and automobiles in China showed growth, with cumulative production from January to October 2025 reaching 230 million units and 27.325 million vehicles, representing year-on-year increases of 3% and 11% respectively [4] Price Adjustments in the Industry - Several leading companies in the light stabilizer sector have announced price increases of approximately 10% to address long-standing issues of irrational price competition [5] - The price adjustments were initiated by major players such as Lianlong and followed by others like Suqian Liansheng and Tiangang Additives [5] Investment Recommendations - Focus on the refrigerant sector, as the supply-demand balance is expected to improve, with price levels likely to rise; recommended companies include Jinshi Resources, Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Yonghe Co. [6] - Attention is also suggested for the chemical fiber sector, with recommended companies being Huafeng Chemical, Xin Fengming, and Taihe New Materials [6] - Other quality targets include Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, Luxi Chemical, and Baofeng Energy [6] - The tire sector is highlighted with recommendations for Sailun Tire, Senqilin, and Linglong Tire [6] - In the agricultural chemicals sector, recommended companies include Yara International, Salt Lake Co., Xingfa Group, Yuntianhua, and Yangnong Chemical [6] - Quality growth targets include Blue Sky Technology, Shengquan Group, and Shandong Heda [6] Industry Rating - The basic chemical industry maintains an "overweight" rating [7]