Energy Demand Concerns Undercut Crude Oil Prices

Core Insights - Crude oil and gasoline prices are under pressure, with crude oil reaching a 1.75-month low and gasoline hitting a 4.75-year nearest-futures low due to concerns about global energy demand and weaker-than-expected economic indicators from China [2][3] Group 1: Economic Indicators - China's November industrial production growth eased to +4.8% year-on-year, down from +4.9% in October, and below expectations of +5.0% [3] - November retail sales in China increased by only +1.3% year-on-year, significantly lower than the expected +2.9% and marking the smallest growth in 2.75 years [3] Group 2: Geopolitical Factors - Optimism regarding a potential ceasefire in the Ukraine conflict may lead to the lifting of sanctions on Russian energy exports, which would negatively impact oil prices [4] - Increased geopolitical risks in Venezuela, following the interception of a sanctioned oil tanker by US forces, may support crude prices as it complicates Venezuela's ability to export oil [6] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The decline in the S&P 500 to a 2-week low dampens economic outlook optimism, negatively affecting energy demand [2] - The crude crack spread fell to a 2.25-month low, discouraging refiners from purchasing crude oil for conversion into gasoline and distillates [4] - Crude oil stored on stationary tankers rose by +5.1% week-on-week to 120.23 million barrels as of December 12 [5]