【环球财经】调查：经济学家大幅上调2025年新加坡经济增长预期至4.1%

Group 1 - The latest survey by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) indicates a significant upward revision in the GDP growth forecast for Singapore in 2025, with the median forecast rising to 4.1% from 2.4% in September [1] - The strong performance of the economy in the third quarter of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 4.2%, has contributed to this upward revision, surpassing the previous forecast of 0.9% [1] - Growth expectations have been raised across major industries, with manufacturing seeing the most significant increase from 0.8% to 5.4%, while financial services, construction, and wholesale and retail trade also experienced upward adjustments [1] Group 2 - For 2026, the expected economic growth rate is projected to slow down to 2.3%, with inflation pressures anticipated to rise, forecasting overall inflation at 1.5% and core inflation at 1.3% [2] - Geopolitical tensions, including trade conflicts and wars, are viewed as the largest downside risk, with 100% of respondents highlighting this concern [2] - On the upside, 76.5% of respondents believe that the ongoing global tech cycle will be a major driver of Singapore's economic growth, alongside resilience in global growth and easing trade tensions [2]