政治“右转”下德国开启深度转型，专家：中德关系在“复杂依赖”中前行

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolving political and economic landscape in Germany, particularly under the leadership of Chancellor Merz, highlighting the challenges and opportunities in Germany's relationship with China and the broader European context [1][6]. Group 1: Political Landscape - The rise of right-wing populism and extremism is noted as a significant trend affecting mainstream political parties in Germany and Europe [3]. - The "black-red" coalition government formed by the CDU/CSU and SPD is seen as a response to these political shifts, with the need to address pressing issues to prevent the further rise of right-wing populism [4]. - Recent polls indicate a lack of public satisfaction with Chancellor Merz's government, with 68% of respondents rating him negatively and only 21% expressing satisfaction with the government's performance [4]. Group 2: Economic Outlook - Germany's economy is projected to grow by only 0.1% in 2025, a downward revision from previous forecasts, largely due to declining exports to the U.S. [4]. - Despite challenges, there is cautious optimism regarding a potential economic rebound, driven by infrastructure investments and policy support, although a clear turning point has yet to be observed [5]. - The government is under pressure to deliver results in key policy areas that resonate with voters, as failure to do so could lead to increased political fragmentation and instability [5]. Group 3: Sino-German Relations - Recent high-level interactions between Germany and China, including 27 agreements in the financial sector, signal a commitment to constructive engagement [6]. - China has surpassed the U.S. to become Germany's largest trading partner, but there are concerns about trade imbalances, with Germany facing increasing dependency on the Chinese market [6]. - Opportunities for collaboration exist in emerging sectors such as artificial intelligence and green technologies, although there remains a cautious approach to avoid over-dependence on China [6].