车百会理事长张永伟：2026年汽车产业战略作用有望提升，国内市场销量预计突破2800万辆

Core Insights - The automotive industry is entering a critical phase in 2026, characterized by intensified competition and the need for stability in growth [1] - The development paths for the industry are identified as intelligence, greenness, integration, and internationalization [1] Industry Trends - The domestic automotive market is predicted to enter a high sales but low growth cycle, with sales expected to exceed 28 million units in 2026 and stabilize around 30 million units by 2030 [2] - The share of new energy vehicles (NEVs) is anticipated to rise significantly, with sales projected to surpass 20 million units in 2026, including exports, and domestic ownership exceeding 60 million units, accounting for over 15% [2] - Growth drivers include supportive policies and the necessity for companies to establish a foothold in overseas markets to complement domestic sales [2] Policy and Regulation - The recently released "Automotive Industry Pricing Behavior Compliance Guidelines" aims to address excessive and disorderly competition during the industry's scaling phase, rather than dictating pricing or consumer choices [3] - The guidelines reflect a shift in consumer behavior towards more rational purchasing decisions, emphasizing the importance of product recognition [3] Technological Advancements - The approval of two L3 autonomous driving models marks a significant transition from assisted driving to autonomous driving, although it does not indicate complete technological maturity [3] - The focus for L3 trials is on verifying technology maturity through real-world conditions and establishing regulatory frameworks for large-scale application [3] Upcoming Events - The 12th China Electric Vehicle Hundred People Forum is scheduled for March 27-29, 2026, in Beijing, focusing on the themes of promoting the intelligent, green, integrated, and international development of new energy vehicles [4]