GTC泽汇资本:贵金属周期将至 2026年市场大重置

Core Viewpoint - Investors in gold and silver are at a crossroads after decades of strong growth, with GTC ZEHUI Capital suggesting that the current precious metals market may be entering the most influential phase of this cycle, which will determine investment returns through 2026 and beyond [1][4] Price Analysis - The current bull market for gold and silver, which began from the lows of 2015-2016, is nearing the end of its "second half" [4] - Gold is currently supported above $4,300 per ounce, with a critical resistance level at $4,383; failure to break this level may lead to a significant pullback, potentially testing the $3,800 support area [4][5] - If gold successfully breaks the current resistance, it could target the psychological level of $5,000, but this may be followed by a multi-year correction, with prices possibly retreating to around $2,000 [5] Silver Market Dynamics - Silver's performance is more volatile, with an ideal target range of $75 to $80 if current support holds; reaching this high may signal the end of the current "parabolic" market phase, similar to historical trends from 2010-2011 [5] Market Sentiment and Risks - Many market participants hope for fundamental support for a long-term bull market; however, GTC ZEHUI Capital warns that historical evidence shows fundamentals often lag and can decouple from prices during crises, as seen in 2008 when gold dropped over 30% [5] - Systemic risks in global financial markets are accumulating, with long-term bond markets peaking and potential yield increases, which may lead to asset price adjustments under deflationary pressures [5] Investment Strategy - The core of precious metal investment lies in identifying the current cycle's position; while silver may have short-term upside potential, the risk-reward ratio will change significantly post-2026 [6] - GTC ZEHUI Capital advises investors to optimize asset allocation during the current time window to mitigate potential market reset risks [6]