盘前：纳指期货涨0.44% 特朗普将发表全国讲话

Market Overview - US stock index futures showed slight fluctuations with the Dow futures up 0.23%, S&P 500 futures up 0.34%, and Nasdaq futures up 0.44% [3][21] - European benchmark indices rose by 0.3%, with the energy sector leading gains due to Trump's order to block oil tankers entering Venezuela, boosting oil prices [3][21] - The latest UK inflation data hit an eight-month low, causing the pound to drop by 0.7%, while the FTSE 100 index rose nearly 1% [3][21] Employment Data Impact - The US labor market showed signs of cooling, with November adding 64,000 jobs, exceeding economists' expectations, but the unemployment rate rose to 4.6% [4][20] - The government shutdown lasting 43 days distorted the employment data, leading to uncertainty about its impact on future Federal Reserve policy [4][20] - Analysts suggest that cleaner data in the first quarter is needed to assess the pace of economic deterioration, indicating that March or April may be cautious benchmarks for potential rate cuts [22] Central Bank Decisions - The dollar strengthened against all G10 currencies, with the largest gain against the yen, while the 10-year US Treasury yield remained stable at 4.15% [5][22] - Multiple central banks are expected to announce policy decisions before the end of the year, with the Bank of England likely to decide on a rate cut and the Bank of Japan expected to raise rates to a 30-year high [23] Geopolitical Risks and Commodity Prices - Trump's administration threatened retaliation against the EU's proposed taxes on US tech companies, targeting firms like Accenture, Siemens, and Spotify [25] - The geopolitical tensions have driven up oil prices and gold prices, with gold surpassing $4,330, nearing its historical high of $4,381 from October [25] - Silver prices reached a historical high above $66 per ounce, and platinum hit its highest level since 2008 [25] Market Sentiment and Volatility - Investors are awaiting the upcoming CPI report with a sense of indifference, contrasting with previous anxieties, as options traders expect the S&P 500 index to fluctuate by only 0.7% [26] - This represents a significant decrease from the average actual volatility of 1% observed in reports leading up to September [26] Company-Specific Developments - AI financing concerns are deemed exaggerated, with Goldman Sachs estimating that $700 billion to $1 trillion in capital expenditures will be needed, primarily funded by operational cash flow [27] - Companies in the cannabis sector, such as CbdMD and Canopy Growth, saw pre-market gains following Trump's executive order to ease cannabis regulations [27] - Oil and gas stocks also rose, with BP up over 2% and other major oil companies following suit due to the blockade of Venezuelan oil tankers [27] - Micron Technology gained over 3% in pre-market trading after being included in Morgan Stanley's list of top chip investment picks for the upcoming year [28]