Will 2026 Be the Year of Uranium?
Etftrends·2025-12-17 14:26

Core Insights - The uranium market experienced a weak November, with a spot price drop of -7.90%, but still shows a year-to-date gain of 3.62% as of November 30, 2025 [1][2] - Strong demand for uranium is anticipated due to increasing policy commitments for nuclear reactor construction and efforts by the U.S. government to reduce regulatory hurdles [2][3] - A projected supply deficit of 197.0 million pounds of uranium by 2040 suggests that prices may rise significantly beyond November lows as demand increases [3][4] Market Dynamics - The uranium spot price faced challenges in 2025, with trading remaining range-bound despite improving fundamentals [4] - Term pricing has begun to rise on light contracting volumes, indicating that key producers have already sold forward multiple years of production [4] - The fading policy uncertainty for utilities is expected to enhance long-term contracting volumes, potentially driving growth in 2026 [4][5] Investment Opportunities - The Sprott Uranium Miners ETF (URNM) offers a balanced approach to uranium exposure by investing in both uranium miners and physical uranium [4][5] - Should the uranium industry recover in the upcoming year, URNM's strategy is positioned to pursue various options for growth and returns, supported by a strong long-term demand outlook [5]