ZACKS·2025-12-17 14:51Core Insights - The online education market is experiencing a structural reset driven by shifts in learner behavior towards flexible, outcome-oriented skill development and the influence of generative AI on knowledge consumption [1] - Chegg, Inc. (CHGG) and Udemy, Inc. (UDMY) represent two distinct approaches to monetizing digital learning platforms, each adapting to similar industry pressures from different starting points [1][2] Chegg (CHGG) Overview - Chegg is undergoing a structural reset, separating its legacy academic services from growth-oriented skilling operations to align resources with long-term demand trends in workforce education [4] - In Q3 2025, Chegg's non-GAAP operating expenses decreased by 46% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA exceeding expectations due to aggressive cost actions [5] - Total revenues for Chegg fell by 42% year-over-year in Q3 2025, primarily due to reduced traffic in legacy academic services and advertising revenue pressure [6] - The Chegg Skilling unit is projected to achieve 14% year-over-year revenue growth in Q4 2025, with expectations for sustained double-digit growth beyond 2025 [7] Udemy (UDMY) Overview - Udemy is shifting towards a subscription-led business model, focusing on professional skill development and enterprise learning, which allows for improved revenue quality and visibility [8][9] - In Q3 2025, Udemy's total revenues reached $196 million, slightly up year-over-year, with subscription revenues increasing by 8% and accounting for 74% of total revenues [10] - Despite improvements, Udemy faces challenges with a net dollar retention rate of 93% in its business segment and constrained growth in the consumer segment due to a strategic deemphasis on transactional course sales [11] Stock Performance & Valuation - Chegg's share price performance has lagged behind Udemy's and the broader industry over the past six months [13] - Udemy currently trades at a higher forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio compared to Chegg [15] - Chegg's earnings estimates for 2026 have trended upward, indicating a projected year-over-year growth of 228.6% [17] - In contrast, Udemy's 2026 EPS estimates have trended downward, indicating only 0.8% growth [19] Investment Outlook - Chegg is emerging from a significant restructuring with a leaner cost structure and improving earnings visibility, positioning it for potential upside heading into 2026 [21] - Udemy benefits from its transition to a subscription model and expanding enterprise presence, but faces execution risks and a more measured growth outlook [21][22] - Chegg currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), while Udemy has a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), appealing more to investors seeking stability [22]