2026 Can Be a Great Year for Banks: 3 Solid Stock Picks

Core Insights - The year has been marked by volatility in the markets, initially driven by optimism surrounding President Trump's return, followed by market fluctuations due to tariff rollouts [1] - A strong recovery in the markets has been observed, reaching record highs, supported by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, which have lowered rates by 75 basis points this year [2] - Banks are expected to benefit from a favorable operating environment in 2026, with anticipated growth in net interest income (NII) and deal-making activities [4] Banking Sector Overview - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and stabilizing funding costs are setting the stage for a potentially favorable 2026 for banks, with expectations of increased revenues [2][8] - Banks are focusing on artificial intelligence (AI) and technology to enhance client experiences and expand online presence, which is crucial for capturing the growing mobile banking population [3] - Consumer spending remains resilient, and credit demand is showing early signs of recovery, contributing to a positive outlook for bank stocks [4] Investment Opportunities - East West Bancorp (EWBC), U.S. Bancorp (USB), and KeyCorp (KEY) are identified as compelling investment opportunities in the banking sector, with each company having a market cap exceeding $10 billion and expected earnings growth of more than 5% in 2026 [5] - EWBC has a market cap of $15.6 billion, with projected earnings growth of 13.4% this year and 7.4% in 2026, supported by solid loan demand and fee income focus [12] - USB, with a market cap of $83.5 billion, is expected to see earnings growth of 14.1% this year and 7.1% in 2026, bolstered by strategic acquisitions and rising NII [18] - KeyCorp, having a market cap of $22.4 billion, is projected to achieve earnings growth of 27.6% this year and 19.6% in 2026, benefiting from strong loan and deposit balances [23] Company-Specific Insights - East West Bancorp operates over 110 locations in the U.S. and China, with total assets of $79.7 billion and a focus on improving fee income and acquiring low-cost deposits [10][11] - U.S. Bancorp has strengthened its market position through acquisitions and partnerships, enhancing its digital capabilities and fee-based businesses [16][17] - KeyCorp is expanding its product offerings and market share through opportunistic acquisitions and is consolidating its branch network to adapt to rising digital banking demand [22]