Is CCL Stock Likely To Beat Earnings?

Core Insights - Carnival is set to release its earnings on December 18, 2025, with a current market capitalization of $37 billion, revenue of $26 billion, operating profits of $4.3 billion, and net income of $2.6 billion [2] Earnings Reaction History - Historical data shows that in the last five years, Carnival had 19 earnings data points, with 10 positive and 9 negative one-day (1D) returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 53% of the time [8] - The percentage of positive returns drops to 50% when analyzing the last three years, with a median of 5.4% for positive returns and -4.0% for negative returns [8] Trading Strategies - Traders can benefit from understanding the correlation between short-term (1D) and medium-term (5D) returns after earnings announcements, allowing them to position themselves accordingly [6] - A relatively lower-risk approach involves identifying pairs with the highest correlation between 1D and 5D returns to execute trades based on positive 1D returns [6]