ZACKS·2025-12-17 21:01Industry Overview - Quantum computing is transitioning from speculative research and development to commercial pathways, with significant market growth expected by 2025 and beyond [1][2] - The quantum computing market is projected to grow from approximately $3.52 billion in 2025 to $20.2 billion by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 41.8% [1] - By 2035, the combined market for quantum computing, communication, and sensing could reach around $97 billion under current scenarios [1] Federal Investment and Support - The U.S. Department of Energy announced $625 million in funding to renew five National Quantum Information Science Research Centers, supporting advancements in quantum technology [4] - This funding is part of the National Quantum Initiative framework, aimed at fostering collaboration among national labs, universities, and industry to accelerate innovation [4][5] Monetary Policy Impact - The U.S. Federal Reserve cut the target federal funds rate to 3.50%–3.75%, marking a shift towards a more neutral monetary policy, which is expected to support longer investment horizons in deep-tech development [6][7] - Easing financial conditions are anticipated to facilitate the transition of quantum hardware programs from R&D to early commercialization [7] Company-Specific Insights IonQ (IONQ) - IonQ achieved a significant milestone in October 2025 with two-qubit gate fidelities above 99.99%, enhancing its commercial viability [8][9] - The company is expected to see earnings growth of 66.2% in 2026, with revenue growth projected at 68.9% [10] - IonQ's average price target suggests a potential increase of 61.9% from its last closing price of $46.07 [10] Rigetti Computing (RGTI) - Rigetti plans to deploy a 150-qubit system by the end of 2026, following the delivery of a 100-qubit system in 2025, with a median two-qubit gate fidelity of 99.7% [13] - The company is expected to experience earnings growth of 75.9% in 2026, with revenue growth of 185.6% [14] - Rigetti's average price target indicates a potential increase of 65.8% from its last closing price of $23.53 [14] Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT) - QUBT faces challenges with widening losses and minimal revenues, making it less attractive heading into 2026 [3][16] - The company is expected to report no earnings growth in 2026 and relies heavily on capital market activity for funding [17]