智通财经网·2025-12-18 01:41Core Viewpoint - The consumption industry needs to focus on the medium- and long-term goals outlined in the "14th Five-Year Plan," with short-term attention on specific policies related to consumption expected to be implemented by 2026 [1] Group 1: Consumption Trends - Global consumption recovery is slow, with high tariffs pushing up prices and high interest rates suppressing credit demand, leading to weak consumer confidence in Europe and the U.S. [2] - The central economic work conference emphasized the importance of domestic demand and the construction of a strong domestic market, implementing actions to boost consumption and plans to increase income for urban and rural residents [2] - The report is more optimistic about the improvement of service consumption compared to goods consumption, highlighting recent policies aimed at enhancing service consumption [2] Group 2: Domestic Demand and Retail Performance - In November, the retail sales growth rate was 1.3% year-on-year, with a month-on-month decline of 1.6 percentage points, marking a continuous decrease since May [3] - The decline in retail sales for household appliances and audio-visual equipment was significant, with year-on-year drops of 14.6% and 19.4% in October and November, respectively [3] - Retail sales in the furniture category showed mixed results, with a year-on-year increase of 9.6% in October but a decline of 3.8% in November [3] Group 3: Category-Specific Insights - Jewelry retail sales saw substantial growth of 37.6% and 8.5% in October and November, influenced by new tax policies on gold jewelry [4] - The clothing and textile categories experienced stable growth, with year-on-year increases of 6.3% and 3.5% in October and November, respectively [4] - The restaurant sector's retail sales grew by 3.8% and 3.2% year-on-year in October and November, indicating stability despite slow growth [4] Group 4: Global Consumer Sentiment - Consumer confidence in Europe and the U.S. remains weak, with the U.S. consumer confidence index at 53.3, close to historical lows [5] - Retail performance in the U.S. was lackluster, with a year-on-year increase of 3.9% in adjusted retail sales for September, showing a decline from August [5] - Online sales during the holiday shopping period showed modest growth, with a year-on-year increase of 7.7%, indicating a competitive environment for promotions [5]