黄金多头结构未破坏 反弹力度或来袭

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that gold is increasingly becoming a cornerstone asset in a fragmented, fiscally constrained, and geopolitically uncertain world, reflecting deeper transformations in the global financial system [1] - Recent performance of gold is not only indicative of a favorable macro cycle but also highlights the importance of trust, diversification, and resilience alongside returns and growth [1] - The upcoming major commodity index rebalancing is expected to trigger significant selling in the futures market, potentially leading to notable short-term volatility in gold prices [1] Group 2 - From a technical perspective, if bullish pressure intensifies, liquidity above recent highs could push gold prices higher, with potential further upside if prices break and hold above $4344-$4350 [2] - The overall technical structure remains bullish, with prices consistently above the 100-day moving average, indicating effective mid-term trend support [2] - If gold prices successfully rise above the upper Bollinger Band near $4350, there is a possibility of challenging historical highs around $4380 and further approaching the psychological level of $4400 [2]