特朗普放风下任美联储主席：支持“大幅”降息

Core Viewpoint - The next Federal Reserve Chair nominee will support significant interest rate cuts, as stated by President Trump, who has been critical of the current Fed's rate decisions and aims to exert more control over the Fed's policies [1][2]. Group 1: Nomination and Candidates - President Trump is expected to announce the next Federal Reserve Chair soon, with a candidate who supports substantial interest rate reductions [1]. - Kevin Hassett, the White House National Economic Council Director, was initially seen as the frontrunner, but Kevin Walsh has gained traction after a recent meeting with Trump [2]. - Christopher Waller is considered a dark horse candidate, facing skepticism due to his previous voting record on interest rates [2][3]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Predictions - The market predicts a 52% probability for Hassett to be selected, 25% for Walsh, and 13.2% for Waller according to the Polymarket platform [3]. - Trump's insistence on the Fed Chair consulting with the President on interest rate policies raises concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve [3]. Group 3: Challenges Ahead - The new Fed Chair will likely face greater challenges in achieving consensus within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) compared to Jerome Powell [5]. - There are existing divisions within the Fed, with several regional Fed presidents opposing rate cuts, indicating potential difficulties for the new Chair in aligning the committee [4][5].