瑞银2026年投资策略：聚焦AI应用、科技股需精选，超配电气化主题

Group 1: Core Themes and Investment Strategies - UBS emphasizes selective overweights in growth themes while balancing valuation protection and risk defense strategies amid moderate economic growth, persistent inflation, and geopolitical and technological changes [1] - The report identifies seven key themes for investment, focusing on technology stocks, artificial intelligence, electrification, European consumer potential, European and Japanese bank stocks, defensive stocks, and gold-related stocks [1][2][3][4] Group 2: Technology and AI Focus - UBS adopts a cautious stance on technology stocks, highlighting Microsoft, Amazon, TSMC, Tencent, and strategically SAP, while being cautious on Apple, Tesla, and ad-based business models [1] - The report underscores the importance of reasonably valued pure data center stocks and emphasizes application scenarios benefiting various sectors, including food retail and financial institutions [2] Group 3: Electrification and European Consumer Insights - UBS believes electrification is still in its early stages, with only 20% of global energy consumption coming from electricity, which needs to rise to 55%-70% by 2050 [2] - The report highlights potential surprises from European consumers in 2026, focusing on banks, retail, and consumer-centric companies like Ryanair and Accor [2][3] Group 4: Banking Sector Outlook - UBS remains optimistic about European and Japanese bank stocks for the third consecutive year, citing strong macroeconomic fundamentals and valuation support [3] - The report suggests that bank stock valuations should adjust to reflect their superior fundamentals and potential earnings compared to historical averages [3] Group 5: Defensive Stock Recommendations - UBS recommends buying undervalued defensive stocks, including household products, medical devices, and food retail, due to concerns over high valuations in cyclical stocks [4] - The report highlights a preference for gold mining equipment companies over gold equities as a hedge against currency devaluation and sovereign credit rating risks [4] Group 6: Investment Style Preferences - UBS continues to overweight low PEG, low leverage, and upward earnings revision factors, while also favoring quality stocks with reasonable valuations [4] - The report suggests a slight overweight in small-cap stocks relative to large-cap stocks in Europe and the UK due to their lower valuations [4]