台湾五年来首见税收短征 媒体忧军购挤压民生
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang·2025-12-18 09:08

Group 1 - Taiwan's tax revenue is projected to fall short by NT$30 billion to NT$50 billion in 2025, raising concerns about the impact on social welfare and tax reduction space due to increasing military expenditures [1][2] - The recent military procurement from the U.S. includes over US$11.1 billion for eight arms sales, which is part of Taiwan's NT$1.25 trillion defense special budget awaiting legislative approval [1] - The slowdown in tax revenue growth amidst rising economic growth rates highlights structural imbalances in Taiwan's industry and tax base distribution, with reliance on exports and high-tech industries while consumer markets remain sluggish [1] Group 2 - The scale of special budgets in Taiwan has been expanding, with the upcoming fiscal year including budgets for "enhancing defense resilience" and "social resilience," totaling NT$2.2 trillion, nearing the total of NT$2.57 trillion during the previous administration [2] - The normalization of special budgets is weakening existing budget review mechanisms, posing challenges to fiscal discipline [2] - Taiwan's credit outlook for 2026 indicates potential economic growth slowdown to 2.4% due to reduced investment momentum in AI infrastructure and increased global trade uncertainties, which may exacerbate fiscal pressures [2]