Core Viewpoint - Dongxing Securities reports that Yuexiu Transportation Infrastructure (01052) plans to acquire 85% equity of the Qinbin Expressway from the Luji boundary to Zhanhua section for 1.154 billion yuan, with the asset covering a total length of 60.7 kilometers and a remaining toll collection period of slightly over 20 years. The acquisition is expected to enhance the company's future performance and the prospects of the Guangzhou North Second Ring Expressway expansion, maintaining a "strongly recommended" rating for the company [1]. Group 1 - The Qinbin Expressway connects multiple ports in the Bohai Bay area, showcasing significant geographical advantages. It serves as the fastest coastal expressway in the Bohai Rim, starting from Qinhuangdao Port and extending southward through Tianjin Port and Huanghua Port to Zhanhua District in Shandong [2]. - The Qinbin Expressway has demonstrated excellent revenue-generating capabilities, with revenues for the years 2023, 2024, and 2025 (January to August) reported at 563 million, 752 million, and 546 million yuan respectively. The average daily revenue per kilometer for the expressway is 25,000 yuan, 34,000 yuan, and 37,000 yuan, indicating a strong performance compared to other four-lane expressways [3]. - The acquisition price for the Qinbin Expressway is considered reasonable, with an internal rate of return (IRR) estimated at 10.43%. The total enterprise value of the project is calculated at 6.225 billion yuan, corresponding to a unit cost of approximately 1 billion yuan per kilometer, which is below the average construction cost of similar expressways in southeastern coastal provinces [4]. Group 2 - The project is expected to enhance the company's performance and operational capacity, with the average remaining toll collection period for the company's controlled expressways extending by approximately 0.8 years. The projected net profits for the years 2026, 2027, and 2028 are estimated at 124 million, 162 million, and 195 million yuan respectively, indicating a potential annual profit increase of around 100 million yuan post-acquisition [5]. - Without considering the acquisition of the Qinbin Expressway, the company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 755 million, 769 million, and 822 million yuan, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 8.7X, 8.6X, and 8.0X. The acquisition is expected to further enhance the company's earnings in 2026 and beyond [6].