张燕生：历史与当下的反全球化力量，往往正是全球化推手

Core Viewpoint - The forum emphasizes the importance of domestic demand as a driving force for China's economic growth in the short term, while focusing on industry, technology, and domestic demand for long-term development [1][12]. Group 1: Economic Strategy - Zhang Yansheng, a researcher at the China Macroeconomic Research Institute, highlighted that the core of China's modernization and economic development is to strengthen consumption and investment to effectively counter international economic changes [1][12]. - The short-term annual plan will focus on "domestic demand as the main driver," while the medium to long-term strategy will involve promoting industry, technology, and domestic demand [1][12]. Group 2: Global Economic Environment - The current international policy environment and economic order are undergoing changes, making it crucial to steadily promote economic growth and stabilize exports in the coming years [4][12]. - The "globalization paradox" suggests that the forces against globalization often stem from those who were once its proponents, indicating a complex relationship between global cooperation and protectionism [4][8]. Group 3: Future Challenges - The future of global economic development will face multiple challenges, including the sustainability of globalization and the potential for increased protectionism and technological decoupling among major powers [8][11]. - Key factors influencing the next five years include the direction of global trade and investment, the advancement of technological revolutions, and the evolution of major power relations [6][8]. Group 4: Technological Revolution - The new technological revolution, characterized by artificial intelligence, cloud computing, big data, and blockchain, is expected to have profound impacts on the economy and industries [13]. - The forum discussed the importance of enhancing labor productivity and overall factor productivity through the application of new technologies [13].