国家发改委部署扩投资：着力增强政府投资引导带动作用

Core Viewpoint - China's fixed asset investment growth is expected to moderately rebound to around 2% to 3% by 2026, following a decline influenced by various factors including the real estate market adjustment and intensified domestic competition [1][2]. Investment Growth Trends - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) in China has decreased by 2.6% year-on-year in the first 11 months of this year, with a notable drop from June 2025 onwards [3]. - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) emphasizes the need to enhance government investment's guiding role and stimulate private investment to maintain reasonable growth and improve investment efficiency [1][3]. Investment Structure Optimization - The NDRC outlines strategies to stabilize traditional investment while fostering new growth drivers, focusing on sectors such as technology upgrades in traditional industries and expanding effective investment in emerging industries [4]. - Key areas for investment include modern infrastructure, ecological protection, and green transformation, with significant projects planned for the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [4][10]. Private Investment Dynamics - Private investment is crucial for stabilizing overall investment growth, yet it currently faces challenges such as declining confidence and reduced growth rates [6]. - The NDRC has facilitated over 13,000 projects for private capital, amounting to over 11 trillion yuan, and is promoting private sector participation in major projects in sectors like nuclear power and water supply [6][7]. Policy Measures for Investment - The NDRC plans to address challenges in private investment by enhancing access, removing bottlenecks, and strengthening support mechanisms [7]. - Recent initiatives include promoting projects in new industries and sectors, with local governments actively introducing projects to attract private investment [8]. Manufacturing Investment Focus - The NDRC highlights the importance of deepening investment and financing reforms to expand effective investment, with a focus on high-growth sectors such as artificial intelligence and advanced manufacturing [9][10]. - Manufacturing investment is projected to recover slightly, with growth rates expected to rise from 3.8% in 2025 to around 5% [10].