Core Viewpoint - The investment outlook for gold and other precious metals is optimistic, with the potential for continued growth rather than a bubble scenario [1][2]. Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Albert Edwards attributes the rising gold prices to government "fiscal incontinence" and expectations of quantitative easing (QE) and yield curve control (YCC) [3]. - The notion of gold being in a bubble is challenged by Bloomberg strategist Simon White, who argues that geopolitical events, such as the freezing of Russian forex reserves, have led emerging market central banks to shift their reserves from dollars to gold [4]. - Journalist Edward Chancellor notes the absence of "irrational exuberance" typically seen in bubbles, highlighting that many Wall Street banks have gold price targets significantly lower than current spot prices, and that speculators are more focused on cryptocurrencies than gold [5]. Group 2: Historical Context and Future Outlook - Edwards suggests that the current gold market may resemble the price behavior of the 1970s, when gold prices surged during a period of high inflation [6]. - Despite being a long-time bear on equities, Edwards acknowledges the positive predictions for U.S. equities made by SocGen's strategist Manish Kabra, indicating a nuanced view of the market [7].
Precious metals are going to party like it’s the 1970s, reckons Albert Edwards
Yahoo Finance·2025-12-17 12:43