投资逻辑已转向,这一板块正成资金新宠丨每日研选
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2025-12-19 00:37

Core Insights - The commercial space sector is transitioning from a policy cultivation phase to a critical stage of scaled growth, driven by technological iterations, demand release, and ecosystem improvements [1] - The investment logic has shifted from early-stage single-point exploration to comprehensive value extraction across the entire industry chain, with companies possessing core technological barriers and scene implementation capabilities expected to lead [1] Global Trends - The global commercial space ecosystem is undergoing profound changes, with privatization and commercialization as core driving forces. In the U.S., policies like the Commercial Space Launch Competitiveness Act have facilitated SpaceX's Starlink, which has surpassed 8 million users and aims for a valuation of $1.5 trillion with an IPO planned for 2026, highlighting the commercial potential of the sector [1] - In China, the establishment of the Commercial Space Administration and the release of special action plans support industry development, with regional clusters like Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and the Yangtze River Delta forming rapidly, aided by fiscal subsidies and open scenarios to reduce costs for companies [1] Technological Advancements - Continuous improvements in rocket launch frequency, with the Long March rocket achieving a record of "three launches in one day," and the regular operation of the Hainan commercial space launch site provide solid support for satellite networking [1] - The satellite manufacturing sector is transitioning from customization to mass production, exemplified by the "Jilin-1" constellation achieving high-resolution, low-cost data acquisition, facilitating applications in urban governance and agricultural estimation [1] Emerging Applications - Space computing is expected to become a new application scenario, complementing ground computing. Initiatives like Musk's 100GW space AI data center plan and Google's Project Suncatcher are demonstrating the commercial viability of space computing, addressing challenges such as power consumption and land resources on the ground [2] - The satellite measurement and control systems are upgrading towards intelligence, with CAE simulation technology supporting the entire lifecycle of spacecraft, enhancing industry quality and efficiency [2] Investment Opportunities - The investment in the commercial space sector can focus on three main lines: - Core component suppliers with technological leadership, benefiting from satellite mass production and computing constellation construction needs, including Aerospace Electronics, Zhimin Da, and Feili Hua [3] - Application service providers with strong scene implementation capabilities, such as Zhongke Xingtou and Haige Communication, which have first-mover advantages in remote sensing applications and low-altitude economy [4] - State-owned enterprises with significant industry chain synergy effects, particularly those related to electronics and aerospace, such as AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation and Aero Engine Corporation of China, leveraging technological accumulation and resource advantages to deeply participate in commercial space support [4]