Core Viewpoint - Guotai Junan maintains a target price of HKD 27.20 for China International Capital Corporation (CICC), corresponding to a 1.2x PB for 2025, following the announcement of a stock swap merger with Dongxing Securities and China Cinda Securities [1] Group 1: Merger Details - CICC is set to absorb Dongxing Securities and China Cinda Securities through a stock swap, with Dongxing Securities priced at a 26% premium and no additional fundraising involved [2] - The stock swap prices are set at CNY 36.91 for CICC, CNY 16.14 for Dongxing Securities, and CNY 19.15 for China Cinda Securities, with corresponding PB ratios of 1.83x, 1.76x, and 3.05x respectively [2] Group 2: Expected Synergies and Strength Enhancement - The merger is expected to significantly enhance CICC's overall strength, potentially elevating its industry ranking from 8th to 3rd or 4th post-integration, with projected net revenue, net profit, total assets, and net assets ranking 3rd, 6th, 4th, and 4th respectively [3] - The merger is anticipated to improve capital utilization efficiency, with CICC's leverage at 5.4x compared to Dongxing Securities at 3.2x and China Cinda Securities at 3.8x, and enhance brokerage business by expanding the customer base, particularly in Fujian and Liaoning provinces [3] Group 3: Catalysts - Key catalysts for the merger include progress in the acquisition and ongoing supply-side reforms in the industry [4]