12月19日金市早评：市场消化CPI与美联储言论 金价冲高回落暂陷盘整

Group 1: Market Overview - The US dollar index is trading around 98.447, while spot gold opened at $4,333.12 per ounce and is currently trading at approximately $4,324.89 per ounce [1] - The previous trading day saw the dollar index close up 0.04% at 98.444, and spot gold closed down 0.13% at $4,331.33 per ounce [1] - Other precious metals showed mixed performance, with spot silver down 1.10% at $65.45 per ounce, while platinum rose 0.95% to $1,914.25 per ounce, and palladium increased by 3.25% to $1,700.00 per ounce [1] Group 2: Inventory Data - As of December 18, COMEX gold inventory increased by 2.45 tons to 1,121.91 tons, and COMEX silver inventory rose by 7.02 tons to 14,095.37 tons [2] - SPDR gold ETF holdings remained unchanged at 1,052.54 tons, while SLV silver ETF holdings also stayed the same at 16,018.29 tons [2] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The US November unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate recorded at 2.7%, below the market expectation of 3.1%, while the core CPI year-on-year rate was at 2.6%, the lowest since March 2021 [4] - The probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January increased from 26.6% to 28.8% [4] - The Director of the White House National Economic Council, Hassett, stated that the Federal Reserve still has significant room for rate cuts [5] - Federal Reserve's Goolsbee expressed concerns about the good inflation data and indicated that the terminal rate will be much lower than the current level [6]