Core Viewpoint - The food and beverage industry is expected to face challenges in performance despite potential valuation recovery by the end of 2025, with the core issue being performance itself [1] Group 1: Structural Changes and Performance Recovery - The transition in economic structure and the recovery of household balance sheets may lead to 2026 being a turning point for demand, with both new and traditional consumption experiencing performance improvements [2] - Traditional consumption is anticipated to see a bottom reversal, with the liquor industry serving as a key indicator, particularly in the first half of 2026 [3] Group 2: Traditional Consumption Insights - The liquor sector is expected to undergo significant performance adjustments in early 2026, which will signal a bottoming out for the food and beverage industry [3] - Other segments such as frozen foods, seasonings, and dairy products are positioned well with good inventory levels and low performance baselines, allowing for potential performance rebounds [3] Group 3: New Consumption Trends - The structural characteristics of consumption in China are expected to persist, driven by innovation in new categories, channels, and markets, which will continue to support performance releases in consumer goods [4]
东方证券:2026年有望成为需求侧拐点 食饮板块核心矛盾为业绩