美国通胀数据良好国际银走涨

Core Viewpoint - The international silver market is currently experiencing a bearish trend, with prices fluctuating around $65.66 per ounce, showing a slight increase of 0.33% from the opening price of $65.44 [1] Economic Data - The latest U.S. economic data indicates an unexpected cooling of inflation, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November dropping to 2.7%, below the expected 3.1% [3] - The core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, rose by 2.6%, also lower than the anticipated 3.0%, marking the lowest growth rate since 2021 [3] - The government shutdown previously affected the completeness of some economic data, leading to cautious interpretations of inflation trends [3] Market Sentiment - Federal Reserve's Goolsbee commented positively on the latest inflation data, suggesting that if inflation is confirmed to be declining, there is room for interest rate cuts, although he expressed concerns about premature significant rate reductions [3] - The job market indicators show stability, supporting the notion of a gradual return to the 2% inflation target, which would allow for substantial rate reductions [3] Silver Market Analysis - International silver found support near the upward-sloping 100-hour simple moving average (SMA) at $64.75, maintaining a bullish bias as long as it stays above this level [5] - The MACD histogram has turned positive, indicating improved momentum, while the RSI is at 56, suggesting a neutral to bullish state with room for further upside [5] - However, the daily RSI indicates an overextended condition, suggesting a potential need for short-term consolidation or moderate pullback before further appreciation [5] - Resistance is expected around the $66.50-$66.55 range, with a significant high point near $67.00 that could limit upward movement [5] - On the downside, the $65.40-$65.35 area is seen as protective for the psychological level of $65.00, with key support at the 100-hour SMA around $64.75 [5][6] - A decisive break below $64.75 could trigger technical selling and pave the way for deeper corrective declines, potentially testing levels below $64.00 [6]