Core Viewpoint - The Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, or CAPE ratio, indicates that the S&P 500 is currently overvalued at just over 40, a level previously seen during the dot-com bubble, which led to significant market losses. However, despite this high valuation, there is no immediate cause for concern among investors due to the S&P 500's historical resilience and recovery after downturns [1][2][3]. Valuation Context - The current Shiller P/E ratio of over 40 has only been reached once before, during the dot-com bubble, which resulted in the S&P 500 losing nearly half its value [1]. - Historical performance shows that since the bottom of the dot-com bubble, the S&P 500 has increased by over 725%, and it has risen approximately 200% since the COVID-19 pandemic crash [2]. Investment Considerations - While the S&P 500 is historically expensive, the resilience of the index suggests that long-term investors may not need to worry about short-term corrections or bear markets [2][3]. - The Motley Fool Stock Advisor has identified 10 stocks that they believe are better investment opportunities than the S&P 500 Index, which could yield significant returns in the coming years [4][6].
The Stock Market Is Doing Something It Has Only Done 1 Time Since 2000 -- Should You Be Worried?
Yahoo Finance·2025-12-17 20:56