本年度库存高点比去年低 预计苹果期货高位震荡

Group 1 - The core viewpoint from Southwest Futures indicates that apple prices are expected to run strong, with current cold storage inventory at 7.5298 million tons, a decrease of 55,700 tons from the previous week, and lower than the same period last year [1][1] - According to Zhuochuang Information, the new season apple production is approximately 34.2344 million tons, a decrease of 3.1153 million tons from the previous season, with smaller fruit sizes noted [1][1] - The overall assessment suggests that this year's inventory peak is lower than last year, indicating a downward trend in new season apple production and quality, leading to an expectation of strong price performance [1][1] Group 2 - Galaxy Futures predicts that weak demand may dominate the apple market in the short term, with market focus shifting towards January delivery and pre-Spring Festival stocking conditions [1][1] - The January contract is expected to experience high volatility due to delivery cost support, while the May contract may trade under weak demand but is less likely to see significant declines due to low inventory and quality concerns [1][1] - There is uncertainty regarding whether apples stored until May will meet delivery quality requirements, suggesting limited potential for a substantial drop in the May contract [1][1]