中天策略:12月19日市场分析

Core Viewpoint - The report provides an analysis of various commodity futures, highlighting trading strategies and market trends for different sectors, including black metals, chemicals, non-ferrous metals, and agricultural products, with specific recommendations for short and long positions based on market conditions [1][4][10]. Group 1: Black Metals Sector - Rebar (rb2605) is noted for a medium-term strong outlook and short-term strong potential, suggesting a focus on long positions [4][10]. - Hot-rolled coil (hc2605) is indicated as medium-term weak and short-term weak, recommending a focus on short positions [4][10]. - Iron ore (i2605) is in a medium-term sideways trend with short-term fluctuations, suggesting a wait-and-see approach [4][10]. - Stainless steel (ss2602) is also in a medium-term sideways trend, with no immediate action recommended [4][10]. - Silicon iron (SF2603) shows a medium-term strong outlook and short-term strong potential, indicating a focus on long positions [4][10]. Group 2: Chemical Sector - PTA (2605) is highlighted for a medium-term strong outlook and short-term strong potential, suggesting a focus on long positions [4][10]. - Plastic (12605) and PP (2605) are both indicated as medium-term weak and short-term weak, recommending a focus on short positions [4][10]. - Crude oil (sc2602) and other related products are in a medium-term sideways trend, with no immediate action recommended [4][10]. Group 3: Non-Ferrous Metals Sector - Copper (cu2602) is noted for a medium-term strong outlook and short-term strong potential, suggesting a focus on long positions [5][10]. - Nickel (ni2601), zinc (zn2601), aluminum (al2602), and tin (sn2601) are all in medium-term sideways trends, with no immediate action recommended [5][10]. Group 4: Agricultural Products Sector - Soybean oil (y2605) is indicated as medium-term weak and short-term weak, recommending a focus on short positions [5][11]. - Cotton (CF2605) is noted for a medium-term strong outlook and short-term strong potential, suggesting a focus on long positions [5][11]. - Live pigs (h2603) and eggs (jd2602) are both indicated as medium-term weak and short-term weak, recommending a focus on short positions [5][11]. Group 5: Financial Futures and Precious Metals - Silver (ag2602) is highlighted for a medium-term strong outlook and short-term strong potential, suggesting a focus on long positions [5][11]. - Other financial futures such as IF2603, IH2603, IC2603, and ten-year bonds (十债2603) are in medium-term sideways trends, with no immediate action recommended [5][11].