科技日报:《地球系统预报发展战略(2025—2035年)》正式发布
Ke Ji Ri Bao·2025-12-19 11:22

Core Viewpoint - The China Meteorological Administration has officially released the "Earth System Forecast Development Strategy (2025-2035)", aiming to establish an autonomous and internationally advanced earth system forecasting system by 2035, enhancing the ability to respond to climate change and extreme weather events [1][2]. Group 1: Strategic Goals - The strategy outlines a ten-year plan for the development of earth system forecasting technology, emphasizing the interaction between various components of the earth system to improve weather and climate prediction capabilities [1]. - By 2035, the goal is to fully establish a unified framework for the earth system forecasting system, significantly enhancing the simulation and prediction capabilities of multi-scale processes within the earth system [2]. Group 2: Technological Pathways - The strategy introduces an innovative "dual-driven, intelligent integration" core technological pathway, combining physical-based numerical forecasting with artificial intelligence to extract forecasting patterns from vast amounts of data [2]. - The next five years will focus on operationalizing a new generation of earth system forecasting models and establishing a unified framework for meteorological AI models, along with launching the first generation of earth system digital twin service platforms [2]. Group 3: Applications and Benefits - The enhanced forecasting system will improve early warning capabilities for disasters such as typhoons, heavy rainfall, and extreme heat, thereby supporting disaster prevention and reduction efforts [2]. - The system will provide more accurate data products for various industries, including agriculture, renewable energy, transportation, and finance, and will serve as a critical scientific basis for addressing climate change and achieving carbon neutrality goals [2].