被饶毅打假的“神药”复星高管回应为何巨额收购

Core Viewpoint - A controversial Alzheimer's drug, known as "971," has regained the possibility of being sold after a recent acquisition by Fosun Pharma, which plans to invest approximately 1.412 billion yuan to acquire 51% of Green Valley Pharmaceutical [1][2]. Group 1: Acquisition and Financial Implications - Fosun Pharma's acquisition of Green Valley Pharmaceutical marks the first purchase under the leadership of newly appointed Chairman Chen Yuqing [2]. - The market reacted negatively to the acquisition, with Fosun Pharma's A-shares dropping by 4.22% and Hong Kong shares by 5.81% on December 16 [2]. - The acquisition is expected to have a minimal impact on Fosun Pharma's financial statements in the coming years, as Green Valley will focus on clinical trials post-acquisition [10]. Group 2: Drug Development and Clinical Trials - Fosun Pharma aims to complete post-marketing confirmatory clinical trials for 971, with an optimistic timeline for approval in the first half of 2029 and potential inclusion in medical insurance by 2030 [2][3]. - The estimated cost for domestic Phase III clinical trials is around 685 million yuan, with plans for international multi-center trials if suitable conditions arise [3]. - The target patient population for 971 is approximately 3.56 million, with a projected market penetration rate of 22% [4]. Group 3: Controversies and Efficacy Concerns - The drug's efficacy has been heavily criticized, with notable academic figures questioning its mechanism and clinical trial data [6][7]. - Despite the controversies, there is a significant demand for the drug, with prices reportedly reaching 1,600 to 2,400 yuan, significantly higher than its previous insurance-covered price [8]. - Clinical data from over 800 patients reportedly shows that 971 performs better than a placebo, and there is a growing body of real-world evidence supporting its effectiveness [7]. Group 4: Company Background and Future Prospects - Green Valley Pharmaceutical, founded by Lü Songtao, has faced scrutiny in the past, including allegations of fraudulent claims regarding its products [9][10]. - The company reported revenues of 572 million yuan in 2024, but faced significant losses in the first nine months of 2025 due to the suspension of 971 [10]. - Following the acquisition, Green Valley will operate as a subsidiary of Fosun Pharma, with a focus on completing necessary clinical trials to regain market approval [10].