BlackBerry Lifts Outlook, But Analysts Warn Of QNX Deceleration

Core Insights - BlackBerry Limited's stock declined despite exceeding third-quarter earnings and revenue expectations, along with an improved fiscal 2026 outlook [1][2][3] Financial Performance - The company reported third-quarter revenue of $141.8 million, surpassing analyst estimates of $137.4 million [2] - Adjusted earnings for the quarter were 5 cents per share, exceeding estimates of 4 cents per share [2] - BlackBerry raised its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $531 to $541 million, compared to estimates of $531.94 million [3] Analyst Commentary - RBC Capital Markets analyst Paul Treiber maintained a Sector Perform rating with a price target of $4.50, noting that the third-quarter results exceeded both the firm's and consensus expectations [4] - The revenue beat was largely attributed to one-time revenue in the Secure Communications segment, rather than sustained growth in QNX [4] QNX Performance - QNX revenue increased by 10% year-over-year but fell slightly short of expectations and showed a slowdown from the previous quarter's growth rate [5] - Guidance for the fourth quarter indicates a deceleration in QNX's year-over-year growth, suggesting a lower growth trajectory despite easier comparisons [5] - BlackBerry narrowed its fiscal 2026 QNX revenue outlook, with investor visibility into QNX growth diminishing, as recent growth is significantly linked to Radar rather than core demand [5] Market Reaction - Following the earnings report, BlackBerry shares dropped by 11.09%, trading at $3.845 at the time of publication [6]