《中国大宗商品价格指数报告（2025）》发布 市场总体平稳

Core Viewpoint - The report from the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing indicates a stable operation of the bulk commodity market in 2025, with a slight expected decline in the average price index compared to the previous year [1] Group 1: Price Index Forecast - The average price index for bulk commodities in China is projected to be 112.1 points in 2025, a decrease of 0.1% from the previous year [1] - Among the 50 monitored bulk commodities, 10 are expected to see price increases in 2025, including neodymium oxide (up 43.4%), refined tin (up 20.6%), and corrugated paper (up 18.5%) [1] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The non-ferrous metals industry is expected to see a 4.2% increase compared to 2024, driven by the rapid growth of high-tech manufacturing sectors such as new energy, photovoltaics, and wind power [1] - The agricultural product price index is forecasted to average 96.7 points, reflecting a 0.4% decline from the previous year, with stable supply and demand for key agricultural products [1] Group 3: Economic Outlook - Experts suggest that the overall trend for the bulk commodity index in 2025 will show a pattern of initial decline followed by stabilization and recovery, indicating a healthier and more sustainable economic structure in China [1] - The strong resilience and significant domestic demand potential of the Chinese economy are expected to remain the solid foundation for the bulk commodity market in 2026 [1]